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How Excessive Harvest Rainfall is Damaging China’s Wheat Crop While Corn Yields Remain High

Excessive rainfall across China’s main wheat provinces through harvest raised concern over the 2026/27 crop, with attention turning to how much wheat China will need to buy next season.   

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How Heat and Dry Weather Conditions are reducing Europe’s Wheat Yields

June’s heat events across Europe raised concern over the 2026/27 wheat crop, with record temperatures across several producing countries drawing attention to yield potential heading into harvest.   Octopusbot’s

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Is Australia’s Wheat Crop as weak as ABARES projects? Weather and satellite data support a stronger season

ABARES’ latest release places Australian wheat production for 2026/27 at 26.7MT, a 26% decline versus last season. USDA’s subsequent estimate came in slightly higher at 28MT, but both point to a

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Is USDA Too Bearish on U.S. Wheat? Octopusbot’s Models Challenge the Outlook

The USDA’s first official production estimate for the 2026/27 U.S. wheat season is the lowest opening forecast on record. The implied combination of the lowest planted area in history,

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Black Sea Wheat Production set for Record High Yield driven by strong weather conditions

Across the Black Sea, the 2026/27 wheat season is shaping as a strong production year for both Russia and Ukraine. Above-median soil moisture, favourable rainfall through the early and mid-season, and

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